Friday, 19 September 2014

Prime Minister Abbott visit to Japan, South Korea and China. Is Australia really benefiting from the FTA's?


Hi all,

Since this week we have to focus on the Employment Relations in East Asia (particularly in Japan and South Korea), I wanted to address in this weeks post the International Employment Relations between Australia and both of these countries.

As it was broadcasted on the news, Australian Prime Minister Tony Abbott had a very important first trip overseas to Japan, South Korea and China earlier this year (in April to be exact). In crossing these 3 countries in a week, he visited three of the Australian largest trading partners and export markets with a combined population of 1.5 billion and a combined GDP of $15 trillion, a collective force responsible for almost a fifth of the worlds trade.

He sealed Free Trade Agreements (FTA) with South Korea and finalized another with Japan and move into last phase of negotiations with China after 9 years all of this despite the risky comments that Prime Minister Abbott made saying that ‘Japan was Australia’s best friend in Asia’ which analysts said could create anger among the Chinese government.

This blog aimed to emphasize of the efforts of the Australian government in building strategic economic alliances with these three countries but at the same to be critical with the fact that Australian businesses are not benefiting as much as ‘they could’ from these Free Trade Agreements. 

As bellows graph sourced from HSBC shows, we can see that due to legal complexities, perception of unfairness and a lack of understanding are contributing to far too few Australian companies acting to unlock the financial and export benefits offered by bilateral free trade agreements. 


Source: 
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/freetrade-agreement-benefits-going-to-waste/story-e6frg8zx-1227029887641?nk=ed1073ff4457dee2e1c33128ef0cb26e

This leaves us with the question... How can the government help the Australian Companies to exploit the FTA in a better way?

Best regards,
Alex

Friday, 5 September 2014

Is the storm approaching Germany?

Many researchers have stated that without doubt Germany’s is the strongest economy in the EU and probably what keeps it afloat. In the group of 28, Germany’s economy constitutes 25 percent of the union outputs. The employment rate is at a record highest with only a 5.4% of unemployment (the second lowest in the EU).

In 2012 the overall budget balance edged into surplus and last year government debt fell below 80% of GDP for the first time since 2009.

These economic and fiscal successes continue to make Germany a bastion of strength in the fragile euro zone. Nevertheless, Germany has generally taken pride in their imposing current-account surplus, this can also be interpreted as a sign of weakness. Total investment has fallen from 21.5% of GDP in 2000 to 17.2% in 2013.

The government is investing to little in new infrastructure such as roads, buildings, broadband, etc, as well as in energy power. Germany has currently dropped the use of Nuclear plants and favored Solar and Wind energy which comes at a price 3 times higher as the price of energy in the USA. 

The shortfall in capital is human as well as physical. In Berlin, as elsewhere in Germany, employers report skills shortages in many industries. Spending on education is lower than it is in other rich countries, with only part of that gap warranted by the dwindling number of children. An OECD survey of working-age adults in rich countries found that Germans were a little more numerate than the average but a bit less literate—a surprisingly poor result. The share of young people getting a tertiary qualification (such as a university degree) is less than a third, below the average for advanced countries.

Higher productivity growth will require a better performance on the part of the services sector, which makes up 69% of the economy. It lacks the dynamism of Germany’s manufacturers despite an encouraging surge in internet startups in Berlin. Reforms to enhance competition, especially among professional services, worth 10% of GDP, would help to gin up productivity more generally. The OECD advocates an array of reforms such as loosening the grip of notaries over commercial registration and the removal of regulated prices for the services of architects and building engineers—a restrictive arrangement unique to Germany within the EU.
But with things going so well, there is little appetite for a new wave of reforms. According to a recent poll by Eurobarometer, 84% of Germans are satisfied with the state of their economy, the highest share in the euro zone.
The resilience of the German economy should not be underestimated. But for the euro zone’s good and its own, Germany cannot afford to become complacent.
Adapted from:
The Economist ‘Clouds ahead the German Economy’ on June 07th 2014
http://www.economist.com/news/finance-and-economics/21603439-recent-vigour-hides-underlying-weaknesses-europes-leading-economy-clouds-ahead?zid=295&ah=0bca374e65f2354d553956ea65f756e0